PressInfo #43 – Kosovo/a – Half Truths About Demography and Ethnic Cleansing

Lund, August 23, 1998 – “There are dangerously many
half truths and biases in the reporting from Kosovo/a. The
generalised media image of the conflict shapes public
opinion which in turn threatens to push politicians into
action that will have counterproductive effects on the
ground,” says Jan Oberg, head of TFF’s Conflict-Mitigation
team, upon returning from yet another mission to Belgrade,
Prishtina and Skopje.

“The standard media story about Kosovo the last six
months goes like this: ‘Kosovo is a province in Serbia
inhabited by about 2 million people, 90 per cent of whom are
Albanians and 10 per cent Serbs. The dissolution of Tito’s
Yugoslavia started in 1989 when Serbian president Slobodan
Milosevic repealed the autonomy which the province had
enjoyed since 1974. The region is characterised by extreme
poverty and systematic human rights violations by Serbian
authorities against the Albanians, to the extent that one is
justified in calling it a police state or an ‘apartheid’
system. The Serb ‘offensive’ is an attempt by Belgrade to
ethnically ‘cleanse’ the province. It looks like a
repetition of Bosnia and, thus, something must be done to
stop it.’

I have come to believe,” says Oberg, “that this standard
media story is based on the KISS Principle – Keep it Simple,
Stupid. Admittedly there are important exceptions of
high-quality, unbiased and research-based journalism. But we
see now – again – how war reports from ex-Yugoslav are
devoid of critical, investigative practises and a truthful
representation of complexity. Analysing the complexities of
REAL reality takes much longer time than it takes for the
leading media to construct a MEDIA reality. Public opinion
is shaped by the latter and decision-makers cannot ignore
it. Thus, they constantly risk taking ‘simple’ steps that
have ‘stupid’ effects on the ground if public opinion
remains informed predominantly by KISS-type reporting. In
conflicts of the Kosovo type, NOTHING is simple and
black-and-white images are simply untrue.

Add to that that the daily news coverage quotes mainly
materials from Kosovo-Albanian Information Centres around
the world supplemented with TV films and reporting from the
violence in the province. The Serb side’s media sources, the
Tanjug Bureau, government sources, independent media and
government-critical media as well as the Serb Media Centre
in Kosovo’s capital, Prishtina, are much less frequently
used as sources to understand the conflict. (The main
websites of both sides are available at TFF’s site). Some
media, e.g. Radio Free Europe and Danish daily Politiken,
use the Albanian name of the self-proclaimed state, Kosova,
while the Serbian ‘Kosmet-Metohija’ or even the more
international ‘Kosovo’ is ignored.

International media can not credibly claim to be
politically neutral or to ‘cover reality’ objectively. They
may not be party to the conflicts, but they are definitely
important players in conflict-management processes. This and
the next PressInfo will deal with a few of the simplified
and therefore false aspects of the Kosovo media reporting,”
says Jan Oberg.

“First, there is the standard story’s presentation of who
lives in the Kosovo province.

Population statistics are not always reliable in this
part of the world, so we should all be cautious. But the
1981 census which is the only reliable one gave these
results for Kosovo: total population 1,584 000 of whom 77 %
Albanians, 13 % Serbs and others, such as Montenegrins,
Turks, Muslims, Croats, Romani, 9 %. The census of 1991
(boycotted by the Albanians) stipulated 1,965 000 of whom 82
% Albanians.

The Albanians have claimed, however, that 250 000 left
between 1975 and 1988 and 200 000 between 1989 and 1991,
i.e. almost half a million or about 25% of the Albanian
population due to ‘ethnic cleansing.’ So, the claim that
Albanians make up 90 % AND that 450 000 have left evidently
can not simultaneously be true. Also, since Albanians have
boycotted censuses in what they consider ‘neighbouring’ and
‘occupying’ Serbia/Yugoslavia, journalists, editors,
columnists and others ought to be highly careful with
figures from that side. And it is simply not true that there
are no other ethnic groups but Albanians and Serbs
there.

Why does the majority of the media not even check such
basic facts? If reporters want to promote the interpretation
that Kosova already is, or should be, an independent
republic, it is logical to point out that a great majority
are Albanians and refer to exaggerated figures and
proportions – the figures provided by the Albanian side. If
the point of departure is international law and the
recognition that the province is an integral part of Serbia,
it makes sense to (also) point out that Albanians make up
between 17 and 20 % of Serbia’s population. Both
perspectives and figures could have been conveyed by the
media and so could the fact that there are people of other
origin. Any journalist could easily have obtained the full
picture and stated that all figures must be taken with a
grain of salt.

Second, there is the common claim that the Albanians have
been victims of ethnic cleansing.

Can about 1,5 million people be cleansed? Is that
Serbia’s goal and, if so, would Serbia be allowed to by the
international community? I doubt it,” says Dr. Oberg, “as a
matter of fact it is a quite bizarre allegation. The facts
point, if anything, in the opposite direction: in 1961, 67 %
were Albanians, 24 % were Serbs and 4% Montenegrins, i.e.
roughly forty years ago one-third of Kosovo’s population was
NOT Albanian. By 1971 the respective figures were 74 %, 18 %
and 3%. Today Serbs seem to make up less than 10 % of the
population in the province. In short, demographic expertise
should be able to calculate when practically 100 % of
Kosovo’s people will be Albanian. The fertility rate of
Albanians is the highest in Europe, the Serb one among the
lowest. Over the years, Serbs have felt harassed and
marginalised (also by Belgrade) and richer Albanians have
bought their property, land and houses. Deprived of economic
opportunities, many found it better to live in Serbia
proper. I want to emphasise that the Albanians have NOT
‘cleansed’ Serbs out of the province with directly violent
means, but the province’s Serb minority has felt anything
but welcome and, consequently, decided to leave. No element
of Albanian politics has offered the Serb minority in Kosovo
any reason for optimism about future co-existence.

But during this war, innocent Albanians have been forced
out of their houses? That’s true, but those who argue that
this is ethnic cleansing must explain how they distinguish
between the effects of warfare as such and a deliberate
policy of ethnic cleansing. The Kosova Liberation Army, KLA,
has chosen to arm Albanian civilian citizens, young and old
(to the extent that they were not already) and
house-by-house, rather than meeting the Serb police,
paramilitaries and regular army in frontal warfare. It has
chosen terrorism, bombings and hostage taking. If those who
equate Serbia’s policies with ‘ethnic cleansing’ for a
moment put themselves in the shoes of the Serb government,
could they tell us how they would face the challenge from
this type of warfare without causing any civilians to flee?”
– asks Jan Oberg.

Peace & future researcher + ‌Art Photographer

Related Posts

Small and different + among the 10% most active + 9,000 texts + 150 Associates + 60 000 a day — and a stubborn belief that peace is smarter and must be secured by peaceful means. In 2026, the Transnational Foundation for Peace and Future Research (TFF) turns 40. On Monday, October 5, 2026, a new TFF homepage will go live — a new gateway to more than 9,000 articles, analyses, research papers and other contributions produced over four decades of independent peace research. But this is not simply a new website. For four decades, TFF has worked from a simple conviction: peace is smarter than militarism and can be brought about by peaceful means. This is not merely an aspiration. It is the principle expressed in the UN Charter and the Gandhian tradition that has guided our work from the beginning. TFF is a research-based, independent and people-financed foundation....
The agreement is catastrophic both because of what it says and what it doesn’t mention. It reduces further the major asset of security policies: Freedom of action. Jan Oberg TFF director September 25, 2026 A couple of hours before the agreement was signed on September 22, 2026, I published the following 13 hypotheses about what it would most likely contain on TFF Substack (in English). I was wrong on only the first point. Contrary to what Trump had written on his Truth Social platform, it does not appear to come into force immediately. In fact, it turned out to be worse than even I had anticipated. After these hypotheses now come a number of reflections in light of what the agreement actually contains, and does not contain, as well as the way in which it has generally been presented by major media outlets and by the public-service broadcaster DR. My...
Jan Oberg May 15, 2026 Go to this Fox News page and scroll the whole way down: President Donald Trump tells the world that his meeting with President Xi Jinping yielded a lot of very concrete political and economic results – of course, only where the Chinese side, according to him, agreed with him. He does not mention the Taiwan issue, but Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, says that it did not feature prominently in their talks and that the US policy on Taiwan has not changed. Then go to China Daily – or Global Times – and you will see that for the Chinese it is framework, principles, structure of cooperation etc. that matters – all embedded in the overall idea of “constructive bilateral relationship of strategic stability.” Nowhere is any concrete agreement or deal – all that Trump refers to – mentioned. At the general level, this gives you insights into the very different social...

Recent Articles

Below are TFF-related media mentions, comments, videos and social media posts published elsewhere but not on this homepage. We happen to catch and list only a fraction. Regarding video comments and debates, we recommend that you go to the TFF Video Channel on Substack where many of them are reproduced. Jan Oberg is a contributor to China Daily – 52 million daily clicks – and Global Times, CGTN and CCTV (the national television), China Investment, Xinhua News Agency and several others. Articles and videos on these media very often multiply into countless Chinese (and Western media) that re-post them from these main media. Thanks to The China Academy, his analyses, interviews and comments are frequently posted on YouTube channels such as Thinkers Forum and Wave Media. These videos are often re-posted on Bilibili (China’s YouTube), the China Content Center on TikTok, and on the Chinese edition of TikTok, Douyin.com. This means reaching hundreds of millions of viewers worldwide over a year. While there are too many to catch on all these...
Jan Oberg TFF director October 13, 2026 According to Alfred Nobel’s will, the Nobel Peace Prize shall be awarded: ”to the person who has done the most or best to advance fellowship among nations, the abolition or reduction of standing armies, and the establishment and promotion of peace congresses.” Further down, he also expresses how the prize for the “champions of peace” shall be decided: “that for champions of peace by a committee of five persons to be selected by the Norwegian Storting. Alfred Nobel’s will is remarkably short and clear. But few seem to have read it. Nobel did not say that the committee itself should consist of members of parliament. He entrusted the Storting with appointing five persons. In principle, it could have selected diplomats, mediators, peace researchers, conflict-resolution specialists, or other individuals with recognised expertise in matters of peace from around the world. Instead, the Storting gradually...
The Quest for Humane Survival Richard Falk Professor emeritus, Princeton UniversityTFF Associate since 1986October 12, 2026 After decades of teaching and writing about international law in academic frameworks that were not institutionally situated within law school environments—at Princeton and the University of California, Santa Barbara—I found myself most receptive to the TWAIL outlook. It has been especially illuminating in clarifying the extent to which international law evolved as a dialogical critique of Europe’s efforts to legitimize its colonial undertakings. In particular, TWAIL has exposed how international law has functioned to legalize the subjugation of Third World peoples, securing conditions for exploitative investment and trade relations, the coercive enforcement of public debts, and an ideology of cultural superiority. TWAIL’s exposure of these economic legacies of colonialism has influenced my understanding of the history and development of international law, broadly conceived, as an ideological project of the Western sub-system of the world...

TFF on Substack

Discover and subscribe to more peace materials on TFF Substack

Most Popular

Below are TFF-related media mentions, comments, videos and social media posts published elsewhere but not on this homepage. We happen to catch and list only a fraction. Regarding video comments and debates, we recommend that you go to the TFF Video Channel on Substack where many of them are reproduced. Jan Oberg is a contributor to China Daily – 52 million daily clicks – and Global Times, CGTN and CCTV (the national television), China Investment, Xinhua News Agency and several others. Articles and videos on these media very often multiply into countless Chinese (and Western media) that re-post them from these main media. Thanks to The China Academy, his analyses, interviews and comments are frequently posted on YouTube channels such as Thinkers Forum and Wave Media. These videos are often re-posted on Bilibili (China’s YouTube), the China Content Center on TikTok, and on the Chinese edition of TikTok, Douyin.com. This means reaching hundreds of millions of viewers worldwide over a year. While there are too many to catch on all these...
Jan Oberg TFF director October 13, 2026 According to Alfred Nobel’s will, the Nobel Peace Prize shall be awarded: ”to the person who has done the most or best to advance fellowship among nations, the abolition or reduction of standing armies, and the establishment and promotion of peace congresses.” Further down, he also expresses how the prize for the “champions of peace” shall be decided: “that for champions of peace by a committee of five persons to be selected by the Norwegian Storting. Alfred Nobel’s will is remarkably short and clear. But few seem to have read it. Nobel did not say that the committee itself should consist of members of parliament. He entrusted the Storting with appointing five persons. In principle, it could have selected diplomats, mediators, peace researchers, conflict-resolution specialists, or other individuals with recognised expertise in matters of peace from around the world. Instead, the Storting gradually...
The Quest for Humane Survival Richard Falk Professor emeritus, Princeton UniversityTFF Associate since 1986October 12, 2026 After decades of teaching and writing about international law in academic frameworks that were not institutionally situated within law school environments—at Princeton and the University of California, Santa Barbara—I found myself most receptive to the TWAIL outlook. It has been especially illuminating in clarifying the extent to which international law evolved as a dialogical critique of Europe’s efforts to legitimize its colonial undertakings. In particular, TWAIL has exposed how international law has functioned to legalize the subjugation of Third World peoples, securing conditions for exploitative investment and trade relations, the coercive enforcement of public debts, and an ideology of cultural superiority. TWAIL’s exposure of these economic legacies of colonialism has influenced my understanding of the history and development of international law, broadly conceived, as an ideological project of the Western sub-system of the world...
Read More
girl-5894831_1280
Below are TFF-related media mentions, comments, videos and social media posts published elsewhere but not on this homepage. We happen to catch and list only a fraction. Regarding video comments and debates, we recommend that you go to the TFF Video Channel on Substack where many of them are reproduced. Jan Oberg is a contributor to China Daily – 52 million daily clicks – and Global Times, CGTN and CCTV (the national television), China Investment, Xinhua News Agency and several others. Articles and videos on these media very often multiply into countless Chinese (and Western media) that re-post them from these main media. Thanks to The China Academy, his analyses, interviews and comments are frequently posted on YouTube channels such as Thinkers Forum and Wave Media. These videos are often re-posted on Bilibili (China’s YouTube), the China Content Center on TikTok, and on the Chinese edition of TikTok, Douyin.com. This means reaching hundreds of millions of viewers worldwide over a year. While there are too many to catch on all these...
Nobel-Prize-Plaque
Jan Oberg TFF director October 13, 2026 According to Alfred Nobel’s will, the Nobel Peace Prize shall be awarded: ”to the person who has done the most or best to advance fellowship among nations, the abolition or reduction of standing armies, and the establishment and promotion of peace congresses.” Further down, he also expresses how the prize for the “champions of peace” shall be decided: “that for champions of peace by a committee of five persons to be selected by the Norwegian Storting. Alfred Nobel’s will is remarkably short and clear. But few seem to have read it. Nobel did not say that the committee itself should consist of members of parliament. He entrusted the Storting with appointing five persons. In principle, it could have selected diplomats, mediators, peace researchers, conflict-resolution specialists, or other individuals with recognised expertise in matters of peace from around the world. Instead, the Storting gradually...
law-419057_1280
The Quest for Humane Survival Richard Falk Professor emeritus, Princeton UniversityTFF Associate since 1986October 12, 2026 After decades of teaching and writing about international law in academic frameworks that were not institutionally situated within law school environments—at Princeton and the University of California, Santa Barbara—I found myself most receptive to the TWAIL outlook. It has been especially illuminating in clarifying the extent to which international law evolved as a dialogical critique of Europe’s efforts to legitimize its colonial undertakings. In particular, TWAIL has exposed how international law has functioned to legalize the subjugation of Third World peoples, securing conditions for exploitative investment and trade relations, the coercive enforcement of public debts, and an ideology of cultural superiority. TWAIL’s exposure of these economic legacies of colonialism has influenced my understanding of the history and development of international law, broadly conceived, as an ideological project of the Western sub-system of the world...
images-2
Advocates of nuclear disarmament are regularly dismissed by the champions of nuclear deterrence as naïve and unrealistic, utopian or even irresponsible. Yet this ‘doctrine’ of deterrence, regarded by France as the ‘cornerstone’ of its national security, is based on quasi-religious beliefs, a theory that cannot be proven, risky gambles and fragile assumptions. So much so that one might legitimately ask which side the ‘Care Bears’ are on. Marc FinaudVice-President of Initiatives for Nuclear Disarmament (IDN) October 9, 2026 This article was originally published on Pressenza When it comes to these things being treated as religious concepts, look here. Idealists and realists It was Hubert Védrine, François Mitterrand’s former Foreign Minister, who repeatedly coined the phrase: ‘Europeans are a sort of Care Bears who don’t realise they’re living in Jurassic Park’. He applies this reference to the cartoon for well-behaved children not only to what he regards as weakness or idealism...
8824b09f-33a5-43f9-9fd0-550f28cda24d_1536x1024
What the West Borrowed from Asia and What It Left Behind Jan Krikke October 8, 2026 The article was originally published here In the late 1960s, the musical Hair announced that the Age of Aquarius was dawning. Its opening anthem promised a transformation of human consciousness: an era of peace, harmony and understanding. Half a century later, a familiar echo of that promise is a meditation app offered by your employer. You can find it in the same list of benefits as the pension plan and the gym discount. How did a spiritual revolution become an employee benefit? The answer lies in the history of the movement known as New Age: where it came from, what it borrowed from Asia, and why the meaning of what it borrowed changed in the process. Two definitions will help. New Age is a loose label for a wide range of spiritual practices and...
Screenshot 2026-10-04 210142
Small and different + among the 10% most active + 9,000 texts + 150 Associates + 60 000 a day — and a stubborn belief that peace is smarter and must be secured by peaceful means. In 2026, the Transnational Foundation for Peace and Future Research (TFF) turns 40. On Monday, October 5, 2026, a new TFF homepage will go live — a new gateway to more than 9,000 articles, analyses, research papers and other contributions produced over four decades of independent peace research. But this is not simply a new website. For four decades, TFF has worked from a simple conviction: peace is smarter than militarism and can be brought about by peaceful means. This is not merely an aspiration. It is the principle expressed in the UN Charter and the Gandhian tradition that has guided our work from the beginning. TFF is a research-based, independent and people-financed foundation....