PeaceTips – Pressmeddelande – Ny rapport slår larm om risker för smittkoppsepidemi vid Irak-krig

11 december 2002  

– Regeringerna i Norden anser att Irak utgör ett hot mot världsfreden. Det mest sannolika hotet är en smittkoppsepidemi, som kan utlösas av USA:s angrepp på ett Irak i panik. Det är egentligen bara smittkoppor som genom sin smittsamhet och höga dödlighet ur terroristens synpunkt utgör ett effektivt biologiskt massförstörelsevapen.

– Om detta hot säger våra regeringar inget och stora delar av befolkningen är inte skyddade i dag.

– Amerikanska beslutsfattare anser att risken för en global smittkoppsepidemi är överhängande. USA tar hotet om biologiska massförstörelsevapen på största allvar OCH fortsätter att rusta för krig mot Irak! Just nu genomförs i USA, England och Israel noggrant planerade åtgärder för att skydda befolkningen mot dessa vapen, främst smittkoppor.

– Är det klokt att Sverige och de övriga nordiska länderna tiger?

Så frågar TFF-rådgivaren, professor Bo Rybeck i en ny analys. Han är fd generalläkare och var chef för Försvarets Forskningsanstalt, FOA, 1985 -1994.

Den kan läses i sin helhet här.

Inom fem dagar ska hela USA:s befolkning kunna vaccineras. USA och Storbritannien har köpt upp allt vaccin som finns på världsmarknaden.

– Det står klart att även en liten terroristorganisation kan sprida sjukdomen globalt utan särskilt avancerade vapenbärare. I USA är förberedelserna omfattande vad gäller att skydda sig mot en smittkoppsaktion. Nyckelpersonal vid olika myndigheter och militära trupper är redan vaccinerade.

– Läget är allvarligt, anser rapportens författare med Rybeck i spetsen. Och inte bara för Iraks och USAs befolkning.

– Ett krig i Irak kan skapa risker för attacker också eller enbart mot till exempel Europa, säger han. Och de länder som är mest ivriga efter att föra krig har köpt upp allt vaccin!

– Statsmakternas vällovliga syfte att inget säga för att inte skapa panik hos medborgarna är kanske inte så väl genomtänkt. I varje fall lugnar det inte författarna.

Om smittkoppor

– är en sjukdom med hög dödlighet.

– ungefär var tredje person avlider och sjukvården belastas hårt.

– det är sannolikt omöjligt att genomföra en global massvaccinering. Tiden räcker inte till.

– någon verksam behandling av typ antibiotika finns idag inte mot smittkoppsviruset.

Analysen ger referenser till literatur och aktuella hemsidor om smittkoppor.

Samma analys på engelska:

Kontakt

Mobiltelefon 0705 233 946

OBS!

Detta Pressmeddelande går till 475 journalister, redaktioner och nyhetsbyråer i Norden, till alla medlemmer av Folketinget, Stortinget och Riksdagen, till valda nordiska länders ambassader i utlandet och valda utländska ambassader i Norden, till 200 forskare, cirka 500 nordiska folkrörelser och NGO-aktiva samt till TFF Vänner.

Lund 11 december 2002

P R E S S E M E D D E L E L S E

NY SVENSK RAPPORT SLÅR ALARM OM RISKOEN FOR EN KOPPE-EPIDEMI VED EN IRAK-KRIG

– De nordiske regeringer mener at Irak er en trussel mod verdensfreden. Den mest sandsynlige trussel er en koppe-epidemi, og den kan blive udløst af USAs angreb på et Irak i panik. Det er faktisk kun kopper, som ved sin smittekraft og høje dødelighed, i terroristens øjne kan fungere som et effektivt biologisk masseødelæggende våben.  

– Om denne trussel siger vore regeringer intet, og store dele af befolkningen er i dag uden beskyttelse mod den.

– Amerikanske beslutningstagere mener at risikoen for en global koppeepidemi er overhængende. USA ser på truslen fra biologiske masseødelæggelsesvåben med den største alvor OG fortsætter desuagtet med at forberede krigen mod Irak! Netop nu gennemfører USA, England og Israel omfattende forberedelser for at, om nødvendigt, kunne beskytte sin befolkninger mod disse våben, først og fremmest koppespredning.

– Er det så klogt at Danmark og de øvrige nordiske lande er tavse om denne trussel samtidig med at de støtter en krig?

Det spørgsmål rejser TFF-rådgiveren, professor Bo Rybeck i en ny analys. Han er Sveriges tidligere generallæge og var chef for Försvarets Forskningsanstalt, FOA, 1985-94.

http://www.transnational.org/tff/people/b_rybeck.html

Den kan læses i sin helhed hér:

Inden for fem dage skal hele USAs befolkning kunne vaccineres. USA og Storbritannien har opkøbt al koppevaccine, der findes på verdensmarkedet.

Det står klart at selv en lille terrororganisation kan sprede sygdommen globalt uden at have særligt avancerede spredningsteknologi. I USA foregår der omfattende forberedelser for at kunne imødegå en koppe-terroraktion. Centralt placerede grupper i administrationen og forsvaret er allerede blevet vaccineret.

– Situationen er faktisk alvorlig, siger rapportens forfattere med Rybeck i spidsen. Og det er den ikke kun for Iraks og USAs befolkning. En krig mod Irak forøger kraftigt risikoen for at der sker angreb af den her slags mod for eksempel Europa, siger Rybeck. Og de lande, der er mest ivrige efter at gå i krig, har allerede købt al vaccine, så der i praksis ikke er til os andre!

– Offentlige myndigheders, regeringers og mediers tavshed – der formentlig skyldes at man ikke vil skabe panik blandt borgerne – er ikke særligt gennemtænkt. I det mindste beroliger denne strategi bestemt ikke os der skrevet rapporten, slutter Rybeck.

Om kopper:

– er en sygdom med høj dødelighed

– cirka hver tredje, der angribes, dør og sygehusvæsendet belastes hårdt

– det er sandsynligvis helt umuligt at gennemføre en global massevaccination, der er ganske enkelt ikke tid til det

– en effektiv behandling, lignende antibiotika, findes ikke i dag mod kopper

Analysen indeholder henvisninger til litteratur og aktuelle hjemmesider om kopper

Analysen findes også på engelsk:

Mobiltelefon +46 (0)705 233 946

OBS!

Denne Pressemeddelelse går til 475 journalister, redaktioner och nyhetsbureauer i Norden, til medlemmer af Folketinget, Stortinget, Eduskunta og Riksdagen, til udvalgte nordiske landes ambassader i utlandet och udvalgte udenlandske ambassader i Norden, til 200 forskere, cirka 500 nordiske folkebevægelser og NGO-aktive samt til TFFs Venner.

Jan Øberg, TFF direktør

+46 46 14 59 09

Lund 11 december 2002

© TFF 2002

Peace & future researcher + ‌Art Photographer

Related Posts

The agreement is catastrophic both because of what it says and what it doesn’t mention. It reduces further the major asset of security policies: Freedom of action. Jan Oberg TFF director September 25, 2026 A couple of hours before the agreement was signed on September 22, 2026, I published the following 13 hypotheses about what it would most likely contain on TFF Substack (in English). I was wrong on only the first point. Contrary to what Trump had written on his Truth Social platform, it does not appear to come into force immediately. In fact, it turned out to be worse than even I had anticipated. After these hypotheses now come a number of reflections in light of what the agreement actually contains, and does not contain, as well as the way in which it has generally been presented by major media outlets and by the public-service broadcaster DR. My...
Below are TFF-related media mentions, comments, videos and social media posts published elsewhere but not on this homepage. We happen to catch and list only a fraction. Regarding video comments and debates, we recommend that you go to the TFF Video Channel on Substack where many of them are reproduced. Jan Oberg is a contributor to China Daily – 52 million daily clicks – and Global Times, CGTN and CCTV (the national television), China Investment, Xinhua News Agency and several others. Articles and videos on these media very often multiply into countless Chinese (and Western media) that re-post them from these main media. Thanks to The China Academy, his analyses, interviews and comments are frequently posted on YouTube channels such as Thinkers Forum and Wave Media. These videos are often re-posted on Bilibili (China’s YouTube), the China Content Center on TikTok, and on the Chinese edition of TikTok, Douyin.com. This means reaching hundreds of millions of viewers worldwide over a year. While there are too many to catch on all these...
Jan Oberg May 15, 2026 Go to this Fox News page and scroll the whole way down: President Donald Trump tells the world that his meeting with President Xi Jinping yielded a lot of very concrete political and economic results – of course, only where the Chinese side, according to him, agreed with him. He does not mention the Taiwan issue, but Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, says that it did not feature prominently in their talks and that the US policy on Taiwan has not changed. Then go to China Daily – or Global Times – and you will see that for the Chinese it is framework, principles, structure of cooperation etc. that matters – all embedded in the overall idea of “constructive bilateral relationship of strategic stability.” Nowhere is any concrete agreement or deal – all that Trump refers to – mentioned. At the general level, this gives you insights into the very different social...

Recent Articles

Tony Robinson October 4, 2026 Violence is easy to recognise when someone is being beaten, shot or killed. It becomes more difficult when nobody is holding a weapon. Poverty, discrimination, exploitation and repression can restrict a human life just as effectively, although they do so in very different ways and with very different consequences. Simply adding more categories to an ever-growing list of forms of violence does not really solve the problem. The more interesting question is what all these different situations have in common and why it makes sense to describe them using the same word. Human beings do not simply react to what happens around them. They remember the past, imagine things that do not yet exist, make plans and undertake projects. Workers organise because they imagine different working conditions; people migrate because they imagine another life somewhere else; social movements emerge because people refuse to accept the...
It’s a matter of principles, courage, vision and pulling together – while the militarist world is falling apart… Peter Langille October 3, 2026 “Here, then, is the problem which we present to you, stark and dreadful and inescapable: Shall we put an end to the human race; or shall mankind renounce war?”The Bertrand Russell—Albert Einstein Manifesto, July 9, 1955 ⁕ The forecast for what’s ahead is worrisome. The sharp rise in armed conflicts over the past three years is adding to what was already the highest level in over seventy years. Genocides, which should be prevented are supported. A shared climate emergency that jeopardises survival is ignored. Diverse polls now suggest that people are war-weary, worried and interested in a more effective United Nations. And, there are viable policy options for a more secure world! Yet governments are doubling-down, betting on more war and investing heavily. If current trends persist,...
Johan Galtung 1930-2024October 2015 Published here on October 3, 2026 Let us focus on Civilization for conflict analysis and remedies. Major forms of disorder use violence; war is state organized violence. The most belligerent states are the United States of America and Israel, both with civilization roots. National Evangelism, the US Protestant Christian civilization– more national than evangelical–justifies US warfare as exceptionalism of a people chosen by God, with a manifest destiny to run the world. Orthodox Judaism justifies Israeli warfare to conquer and expand from Nile to Euphrates as a religious right and duty to the Eternal One. The third most belligerent country, the UK, no longer believes it is God-chosen but chosen by the USA; not quite the same but something. But the root cause of global disorder lies in the Occident–with Islam–seeing itself as the single, universal civilization valid for all at all times, all others being...

TFF on Substack

Discover and subscribe to more peace materials on TFF Substack

Most Popular

Tony Robinson October 4, 2026 Violence is easy to recognise when someone is being beaten, shot or killed. It becomes more difficult when nobody is holding a weapon. Poverty, discrimination, exploitation and repression can restrict a human life just as effectively, although they do so in very different ways and with very different consequences. Simply adding more categories to an ever-growing list of forms of violence does not really solve the problem. The more interesting question is what all these different situations have in common and why it makes sense to describe them using the same word. Human beings do not simply react to what happens around them. They remember the past, imagine things that do not yet exist, make plans and undertake projects. Workers organise because they imagine different working conditions; people migrate because they imagine another life somewhere else; social movements emerge because people refuse to accept the...
It’s a matter of principles, courage, vision and pulling together – while the militarist world is falling apart… Peter Langille October 3, 2026 “Here, then, is the problem which we present to you, stark and dreadful and inescapable: Shall we put an end to the human race; or shall mankind renounce war?”The Bertrand Russell—Albert Einstein Manifesto, July 9, 1955 ⁕ The forecast for what’s ahead is worrisome. The sharp rise in armed conflicts over the past three years is adding to what was already the highest level in over seventy years. Genocides, which should be prevented are supported. A shared climate emergency that jeopardises survival is ignored. Diverse polls now suggest that people are war-weary, worried and interested in a more effective United Nations. And, there are viable policy options for a more secure world! Yet governments are doubling-down, betting on more war and investing heavily. If current trends persist,...
Johan Galtung 1930-2024October 2015 Published here on October 3, 2026 Let us focus on Civilization for conflict analysis and remedies. Major forms of disorder use violence; war is state organized violence. The most belligerent states are the United States of America and Israel, both with civilization roots. National Evangelism, the US Protestant Christian civilization– more national than evangelical–justifies US warfare as exceptionalism of a people chosen by God, with a manifest destiny to run the world. Orthodox Judaism justifies Israeli warfare to conquer and expand from Nile to Euphrates as a religious right and duty to the Eternal One. The third most belligerent country, the UK, no longer believes it is God-chosen but chosen by the USA; not quite the same but something. But the root cause of global disorder lies in the Occident–with Islam–seeing itself as the single, universal civilization valid for all at all times, all others being...
Read More
Living-Peace-Sign-Budapest-copy
Tony Robinson October 4, 2026 Violence is easy to recognise when someone is being beaten, shot or killed. It becomes more difficult when nobody is holding a weapon. Poverty, discrimination, exploitation and repression can restrict a human life just as effectively, although they do so in very different ways and with very different consequences. Simply adding more categories to an ever-growing list of forms of violence does not really solve the problem. The more interesting question is what all these different situations have in common and why it makes sense to describe them using the same word. Human beings do not simply react to what happens around them. They remember the past, imagine things that do not yet exist, make plans and undertake projects. Workers organise because they imagine different working conditions; people migrate because they imagine another life somewhere else; social movements emerge because people refuse to accept the...
b54a1f10-8c65-4f0b-9dd5-4abc0a7d04cc_2659x2659
It’s a matter of principles, courage, vision and pulling together – while the militarist world is falling apart… Peter Langille October 3, 2026 “Here, then, is the problem which we present to you, stark and dreadful and inescapable: Shall we put an end to the human race; or shall mankind renounce war?”The Bertrand Russell—Albert Einstein Manifesto, July 9, 1955 ⁕ The forecast for what’s ahead is worrisome. The sharp rise in armed conflicts over the past three years is adding to what was already the highest level in over seventy years. Genocides, which should be prevented are supported. A shared climate emergency that jeopardises survival is ignored. Diverse polls now suggest that people are war-weary, worried and interested in a more effective United Nations. And, there are viable policy options for a more secure world! Yet governments are doubling-down, betting on more war and investing heavily. If current trends persist,...
010
Johan Galtung 1930-2024October 2015 Published here on October 3, 2026 Let us focus on Civilization for conflict analysis and remedies. Major forms of disorder use violence; war is state organized violence. The most belligerent states are the United States of America and Israel, both with civilization roots. National Evangelism, the US Protestant Christian civilization– more national than evangelical–justifies US warfare as exceptionalism of a people chosen by God, with a manifest destiny to run the world. Orthodox Judaism justifies Israeli warfare to conquer and expand from Nile to Euphrates as a religious right and duty to the Eternal One. The third most belligerent country, the UK, no longer believes it is God-chosen but chosen by the USA; not quite the same but something. But the root cause of global disorder lies in the Occident–with Islam–seeing itself as the single, universal civilization valid for all at all times, all others being...
Screenshot 2026-10-02 011738
Jan ObergPhD, director, The Transnational Foundation for Peace and Future Research, TFFLund, Sweden October 2, 2026 This is my full original manuscript. The Chinese Academy of Social Science, CASS, makes two publications out if it. 1. China’s Five-year plan emphasized the capabilities of basic research and original innovation. It is regarded as the goal of the future social development, which, as required, should be significantly enhanced. Can you comment on the importance of original innovation in research and academic study? I believe it is easier to define “original innovation” in the natural sciences than in social sciences. The breaking points of what constitutes something new, or innovative, are not quite as sharp in the latter. But in both fields it is about opening up something that was closed, unseen, unexplored before – making manifest what was earlier latent. Innovations come in many forms and shapes – naming something that was not...
arctic-circle-map
The agreement is catastrophic both because of what it says and what it doesn’t mention. It reduces further the major asset of security policies: Freedom of action. Jan Oberg TFF director September 25, 2026 A couple of hours before the agreement was signed on September 22, 2026, I published the following 13 hypotheses about what it would most likely contain on TFF Substack (in English). I was wrong on only the first point. Contrary to what Trump had written on his Truth Social platform, it does not appear to come into force immediately. In fact, it turned out to be worse than even I had anticipated. After these hypotheses now come a number of reflections in light of what the agreement actually contains, and does not contain, as well as the way in which it has generally been presented by major media outlets and by the public-service broadcaster DR. My...
girl-5894831_1280
Below are TFF-related media mentions, comments, videos and social media posts published elsewhere but not on this homepage. We happen to catch and list only a fraction. Regarding video comments and debates, we recommend that you go to the TFF Video Channel on Substack where many of them are reproduced. Jan Oberg is a contributor to China Daily – 52 million daily clicks – and Global Times, CGTN and CCTV (the national television), China Investment, Xinhua News Agency and several others. Articles and videos on these media very often multiply into countless Chinese (and Western media) that re-post them from these main media. Thanks to The China Academy, his analyses, interviews and comments are frequently posted on YouTube channels such as Thinkers Forum and Wave Media. These videos are often re-posted on Bilibili (China’s YouTube), the China Content Center on TikTok, and on the Chinese edition of TikTok, Douyin.com. This means reaching hundreds of millions of viewers worldwide over a year. While there are too many to catch on all these...